

There is zero chance that Nintendo is giving you a worse deal than third party sellers. That’s just not a thing. Not only does the third party retailer need to keep a cut, but there is an extra step of logistics and shipping involved. This is the MSRP. You won’t see lower unless it’s leftover stock on sale.
Admittedly, you should see a lot more of that with physical games, but who knows how small physical runs become in this weather. Physical carts could become Limited Run-style collector’s items.
Sure, after the fact when they were trying to offload stock. It’s certainly been easier to find cheap physical copies after launch, since digital games go in and out of sale at the same time everywhere.
We’ll see how that goes this time. I do think it’ll depend a lot on whether people keep buying carts and on how many carts they print on each run. The fact that there is a price difference makes me think they won’t be as physical-heavy as last time, but there’s no way to know yet.