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Cake day: June 9th, 2023

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  • While they are not yet an official combatant they are supplying arms to the other guerillas as is China. I used the Wa State Army as evidence of Chinese relationship to the guerilla armies in Myanmar. It is also well documented and they flout their Chinese relationship internationally. China has an equally imbedded relationship with other guerilla armies.












  • There is some cooperation but a lot of rivalry. Current offensive is coordination between only 3 out of a dozen or more guerilla forces called Brotherhood Alliance - Arakan Army (which is the ethnic Arakanese who are predominantly buddhist, recently formed in the past decade when the Rohingya militants became active in Arakan), MNDAA - which is Kokang based populated by ethinc Han Chinese who escaped the Manchurians (and Qing dynasty) and settled in Burma, and Ta’ang National Liberation Army who represents a small ethnic group numbering a few hundred thousand at most in Northeast Burma. Since WW2 many of them fight amongst themselves for control of drug trade, black market trade, and territory where they tax businesses and people for protection. The biggest independent militia in the world - the United Wa State Army with 30,000 soldiers are neutral to the current conflict, are aligned with the military junta to a certain extent, but are also supplying arms to these other militias. Now all the ones I’ve mentioned are called Ethnic Armed Orgs (EAOs) or non-Burman.

    The government in exile formed by elected law makers from 2021 election who escaped abroad are supporting spontaneous civilian militias in various parts of lowland Burma, and also has a small armed group they have formed with civilian and student protesters from 2021. They are not well-organized, and thus are not coordinating with the Brotherhood Alliance, but are likely taking advantage of the situation. This government in exile has tried to arrange talks with all the EAOs into an alliance, but thus far have not been successful.



  • The military staged a coup in 2021 to prevent an elected civilian gov’t from taking power. There were massive nation-wide protests that they put down with gun fire. The civilian protest movement has organized militias funded by donations and allied themselves with ethnic rebels who’ve been fighting for autonomy or independence since the country gained independence from the British after WW2. Last month, that coalition of rebels launched an offensive that’s been hugely successful thus far taking a lot of bases from the military junta and taken control of two border towns that control trades with China and India. Junta is reeling and they are using scare tactics to try and rally people to their side.